Difference between revisions of "PSBL Notes"

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This page is for use in keeping notes about my PSBL simulation baseball league team.  Rather than setting up another wiki, I figured this was a better way to do it.
 
This page is for use in keeping notes about my PSBL simulation baseball league team.  Rather than setting up another wiki, I figured this was a better way to do it.
  
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[[PSCB Notes]] are located here
 
=Roster=
 
=Roster=
The following players are the ones that matter, Im skipping the scrubs.  Each player in this heading is either slated to be protected, on the bubble or worthy of inclusion in some trade or another.  Eventually I might make individual player pages for increased discussion ability.
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The following players are the ones that matter, Im skipping the scrubs.   
 
<br><div align=center>St Louis Cardinals</div><br>
 
<br><div align=center>St Louis Cardinals</div><br>
1B Albert Pujols<br>
 
2B Tadahito Iguchi<br>
 
3B Corey Koskie<br>
 
SS Orlando Cabrera<br>
 
LF Moises Alou<br>
 
RF JD Drew<br>
 
CF Coco Crisp<br>
 
DH Travis Hafner<br>
 
OF Milton Bradley<br>
 
P Scott Kazmir<br>
 
P Greg Maddux<br>
 
P Brad Penny<br>
 
P Josh Beckett<br>
 
P Joe Nathan<br>
 
  
The Bubble<br>
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1B Albert Pujols <br>
CN David Bell<br>
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2B Orlando Hudson <br>
UTL Mike Morse<br>
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SS Miguel Tejada<br>
OF Todd Linden<br>
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3B Scott Rolen <br>
C Mike Lieberthal<br>
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3B Jorge Cantu<br>
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C Taylor Teagarden<br>
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C  Brayan Pena<br>
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C  David Ross<br>
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C  Ivan Rodriguez <br>
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IF Ben Zobrist<br>
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LF Bobby Abreu<br>
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LF Jonny Gomes<br>
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LF Chase Headley<br>
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RF JD Drew <br>
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DH Travis Hafner <br>
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DH Jason Kubel<br>
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P Dan Haren<br>
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P John Lackey <br>
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P Josh Beckett <br>
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P Kevin Millwood<br>
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P Jon Garland<br>
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P Pedro Martinez<br>
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P Bartolo Colon<br>
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P Phil Hughes<br>
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P Trever Miller<br>
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P Rafael Betancourt<br>
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P Jeff Samardzija<br>
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P Kerry Wood<br>
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P Francisco Rodriguez <br>
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P Huston Street<br>
  
==Protected List==
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<br>Reserve Roster<br>
I believe cutting Lieberthal and Bell, while shortfalling us on eligibility, will greatly improve the draft position and help the team.  Neither player looks like more than a 7th round value to me, most likely they can be retreived when call-ups resume in the draft.  Its possible one will be lost, but so be it.
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=Positions and Needs=
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OF Brian Barton<br>
The primary need is pitching.  Kazmir is the only starter that could be considered dominant, and Maddux is the only other that is even above average this year.  Beckett and Penny both have good future value, and Penny is relatively usable this year as well.  Nathan is probably the best closer in baseball this year, and is in his prime.
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C Michael Barrett<br>
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P Boof Bonser<br>
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P Derrick Turnbow<br>
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P Akinori Otsuka<br>
  
Besides pitching third base and center field are mild needs, along with catcher.  Crisp is good defensively but had an injury plagued year and has an anemic .702 OPS (worse vs R).  His speed is nice and he is young enough to still have excellent value.  At third base Bell is great defensively and has a respectible .337 OB, but has no slugging to speak of, he also brings a lot of plate apps to the table.  Koskie is a thumper vs R, and solid defensively, for about half a season.  He can be conserved by batting him low in the lineup and subbing Bell in when possible.  Lieberthal is solid all around but only good for about half a season and could retire.
 
  
The tertiary need is young talent.  The team has an acceptable amount of young players, but it is quite possible many could be dealt to increase this years title potential.  If that doesnt happen, this team is a playoff also-ran.
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I have cleaned up this page and moved all the old information to [[PSBL Archive]].
  
=Trades=
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==Strengths==
I have already made some offers to other teams that would need to be honored if accepted.  Barring that, everything here is to be discussed.
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Solid defenseExcellent offenseBest playoff rotation in the league.
==Proposed Deals==
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==Weaknesses==
The following deals have already been proposed to ownersSome have been shelved until the ratings arriveOthers are just awaiting response.
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No high use catcherThin relief.
===Bobby Abreu===
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I have offered the Tigers Coco Crisp and the first round selection for Bobby AbreuHe said he was intersted depending on the defensive ratings.  I suspect Abreu should be FR or less in CF, and Crisp should be VG or EX.  That bodes well for this deal.  If completed, it would give us a dominant #3 hitter with unlimited plate apps who is in the prime of his career.
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Looks like this deal is dead.  Here was his offer: Your first round pick, Coco Crisp, and Scott Kazmir for Bobby Abreu, John Buck and Jarrod Washburn.  That doesnt sound close to me.
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=Plan=
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Go for it and get back to the winning ways of yore.
  
===Aubrey Huff===
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=Pre Season Deals=
I believe this deal to be dead.
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What follows are all of the deals I have considered seriously.  Some have been offered, some have not.
  
===Manny Ramirez===
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==Stephen Drew==
I have offered Josh Beckett and choice of Milton Bradley or Luis Gonzalez for Manny Ramirez and John Smoltz.  This deal is a potential blockbuster.  Manny would be huge between Pujols and Hafner, and it would push the offense to the next level.  Smoltz is better now, though nearing the end.  The team gets much older but has greatly increased star power and a fearsome offense.  He responded that he is considering it.  He likes Beckett a lot and has made offers for him in the past.
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I cant remember who I was getting in the OF to facilitate this, but I am considering offering Tejada and Abreu for Stephen Drew and a good reliever, like Soria.
  
He has not returned the last couple of emails.  I think this deal is still possible, albeit at the draft.  I think it becomes even more possible if Manny ends up away from the Sox, as is currently rumored.
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==Pick 15==
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I have offered Headley and K-Rod for pick 15 and Olivo.  I have also guaranteed him I-Rod for a 7th or 8th rounder to fill his eligibility if he so chooses after we get our lists done.  He said this is a good offer he is considering among two others.
  
====Torii Hunter====
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==Aramis Ramirez==
Technically this belongs in the potential deals because it hasnt been offered, but it is related to this one here.  If he decides against the Manny deal I would like to offer the same deal with Gonzalez on our side and Hunter instead of MannyIts not the same kind of blockbuster, but Hunter is a great defensive player who is improving offensively and is youngerIts potentially even better for the team.
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Jon offered me Ramirez for Hughes and TeagardenThis messes up my C situation, but if I get Olivo its mootI could also counter with pick 15 if he wants that.
  
===Chad Bradford===
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==Jay Bruce==
I offered Todd Linden and Mike Morse for Chad BradfordI like Linden's talent but he would be hard to protect, and Bradford had a great year but is just a journeymanThis could help having another reliever in the fold.
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WhateverMatt is on crack.  Still, Im tenacious and as dumb as a sack of hammers hanging from a fencepostI am considering offering Rolen, Cantu and Kerry Wood for Bruce.
  
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=First Round Pick Possibilities=
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In the first round we have pick 4.  I want to try and move up to 1 as well as acquire pick 5.
  
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==Best Players Available==
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1. Matt Wieters<br>
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2. Rick Porcello<br>
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3. Tommy Hanson<br>
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4. Neftali Feliz<br>
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5. Andrew McCuthchen<br>
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6. Gordon Beckham<br>
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7. Elvis Andrus<br>
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8. Colby Rasmus<br>
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9. Chris Coghlan<br>
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10. Matt LaPorta<br>
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<br><br>
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===Others===
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Nolan Reimold<br>
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Jordan Schafer<br>
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Fernando Martinez<br>
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Tommy Hunter<br>
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Wade Davis<br>
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Chris Tillman<br>
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Brian Matusz<br>
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Andrew Bailey<br>
  
===Justin Verlander===
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I think you have to put Beckham on this list. In the PSCB, none of these players were available, except Hanson, but Beckham went first and Hanson third> I like him better than Rasmus and La Porta.
Our best pitcher is Kazmir, who in many ways is similar to Verlander (age etc). Verlander has more starts, and will be an EX hold.  He is also very stacked vs one side, which limits his playoff value.  Kazmir is reasonable vs both sides, but even though he is left handed he will probably be FR or PR hold.  He has a much better strikeout pitch, even though Verlander throws harder.  The Mets park really favors lefties too, so this is in our favor.  I prefer my best pitcher to be a right hander (and I question Kazmir's size), which is why I would offer one of the extra outfielders (Bradley or Gonzalez) and Kazmir for Verlander.  If this doesnt work, Dave Bush could be another option.
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===Gary Matthews===
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I need a CF really bad, but I thought McCutchen was on a team, but since he is not, thats my guy.
The Mets are an outstanding young team with a lot of players on the rise, yet they arent quite there this season.  I am thinking of offering Coco Crisp for Gary Matthews.  Its a great upgrade this year, and I have liked Matthews for a long time.
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He has responded in a positive way to this suggestion.  If CF becomes a need, this is a better option than Patterson, but at a higher cost.
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===Dave Bush===
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I am now thinking of offering Coco Crisp and Scott Kazmir for Dave Bush and Gary Matthews.
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===Chipper Jones===
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I have had repeated conversations with Rob about Chipper Jones.  Id like to get a real 3B.
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===Jake Westbrook===
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Rob and I have talked about a possible Maddux and Bradley for Westbrook and something deal.  Depending on the something, it could be ok.  Its a slight downgrade today, but a big upgrade in the future, unless Bradley really breaks out.  I would like this something else to be Rich Aurilia or something of that comparable value to make this worthwhile.
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===Johnny Damon===
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This deal was declined.
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===Jason Schmidt===
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The team needs an ace, and Florida is probably a .500 team.  A deal involving Kazmir for Schmidt could help us both, especially if Dave Roberts can somehow be in the deal too. 
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I no longer want to trade Kazmir unless its a really stellar deal.  I would like to get Schmidt, but it would need to be similar to what I have offered for Pedro.  He has responded that he would trade Schmidt for a package of young players.  I am wondering if maybe Schmidt and D Roberts could be had for the first rounder.
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I opened discussions with Florida about possibly sending Penny and Bradley for Schmidt and Roberts.  If this doesnt work there are two possibilities, Crisp and Penny (option #1), or Kazmir (option #2) for Schmidt and Roberts.  I would much rather trade Penny and stuff than let Kazmir go, for one thing Schmidt-Kazmir-Maddux is a solid playoff 1-2-3.  Fortifying with Pedro would make the rotation nice, and would allow Beckett to be left off the playoff roster.
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I made the second offer, Kazmir for Schmidt and Roberts.  I dont expect it to happen, but if it does it fills some holes.  He responded that he is interested but doesnt like including Roberts as well in the deal.  I said he can also have Todd Linden, which will improve his age situation.  I look forward to this deal, I think we can make it happen.
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This deal looks dead.
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===Corey Patterson===
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The Royals have agreed in priciple to a deal involving Bradley and a choice for Patterson and a choice a few rounds later.  If CF turns out to be a problem, this is a makeable deal.
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===Pedro Martinez===
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I have begun discussions with Seattle about Pedro.  He is most interested in draft picks.  I am not willing to trade the #1 for Pedro unless significant other compensation is also included.  I have told him I would give the first non-first round pick I have plus a good player or the first two non-first round picks for Pedro.  He would be ace quality and has 5 playoff starts.
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The Pedro discussion has resumed.  He again asked about the 1st rounder, but I dont want to trade it for Pedro unless I get significant other compensation.  Players I would consider as significant that could be included are Michael Barrett or Morgan Ensberg.  Maybe Bradley can be traded for Pedro.
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===Ivan Rodriguez===
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Dennis has posted another one of those ads like everyone else, and he is advertising Pudge and Millwood, if they could be had for Beckett, I think the value is right to make the deal.  Dennis is not interested in Beckett.  I have asked about getting Prior.  He has responded that he wants Maddux and something for Prior.  That doesnt make any sense for this team.  Looks like this is a dead end.
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===Marcus Thames===
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Alou is a very similar player to Thames except much older.  If a couple of holes could be filled for Atlanta, maybe such a swap makes sense.  I can see sending either Jamie Walker or Mike Lieberthal plus Alou for Thames.  Heck, worst case is send both.  The only downside is that Lieberthal would then not be eligible to be called back, or in the draft at all for that matter.
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He responded that he thought this was a fair deal but he wants to trade Thames for a CF.
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=Direction=
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Unless someone offers a really enticing package of great young players, this is a season to go for it all.
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==Plan==
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I have taken a hard look at the roster and I dont see a way to get down to 12, but maybe to 14 or 15.  If the quality of the players is improved for some quantity, that would make the draft more critical, but certainly this is the kind of draft that could be very helpful.  I have to stake it all on the Abreu deal.  If that is made, the draft will need to be treated differently then if it isnt.  If that deal does not go down, here is my current plan:
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Trade Maddux, Penny and Bradley for Westbrook and Lackey, or some other combination that is similar for this year but better in terms of age and reduces the protected roster.
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Use the #1 pick on Russell Martin, Kenji Johjima or Ronny Paulino (assuming he is available, he was in the reserve draft last year).  Trade up if needed.
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Place a slightly lower value on now in the draft (normally I value the current card as 55% of a players value).  Go starting pitching heavy.  Beyond that the team only needs a CF vs R and LF, RF vs L, plus relief pitching.
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If Abreu is acquired:
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Protect approximately 15-17 guys.
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Try and trade Bradley or Gonzalez to improve the draft possition, possibly to Cleveland or the Cubs.
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Needs are starting pitching, LF vs L and relief.
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Use a majority of early picks on a dominant reliever and prospects who are usable part time.
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==Team Building Philosophy==
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Since we had that mini-discussion about team stuff, I figured it might be good to get my thoughts written.  This way we can find where we differ, and then bridge that gap and hopefully improve our ability to field a great team and win games.
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===Offense===
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I prefer to have a lot of speed at the top of the lineup, but OBP is more important.  I prefer no more than 3-4 right handed hitters if possible.  The #4 hitter should be a RH with a lot of power and good OBP, Pujols is the ideal #4 in my opinion.  The #3 hitter should have great OBP, good average and good power and be a switch hitter or LH.  The #5 hitter should be a LH batter with great power and OBP.  I prefer not to stack more than 2 RH batters in a row, there are so many relievers that get them out, make the opponent either have a guy who is good vs both sides or use 2 relievers.
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===Defense===
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I prefer range over sure-handedness.  I dont mind some errors if it means the guy gets to a lot of balls.  In the OF I really like guys who can throw.  With as much value as I place on taking an extra base for free, having an OF who can prevent it is a nice bonus, and often isnt too expensive.  I really prefer a C who can throw, if he cant the pitching staff needs to be tailored.
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===Pitching===
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I prefer to have one left handed starter and one left handed reliever.  Its crucial that both be good vs both sides, because they are so easy to min-max.  The #1 starter must be right handed and dominant both ways.  The closer must not blow games, those are wins thrown away.  A bad start can be overcome, but a blown save is very difficult (less innings to work with) to beat.
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===Bench===
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I prefer to only carry 2 C so there are enough spaces to platoon a couple of guys and have some bats when needed.  No more than one of the reserve OF should be veterans, and all of the reserve OF should have big bats vs at least one side.  Its great to have a real fast pinch runner too.
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===Overall Philosophy===
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I prefer a well rounded approach to a team with one big strength.  It seems to be much more difficult to stop a team that does a lot of things, than one that concentrates on one.
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Latest revision as of 18:15, 16 November 2009

This page is for use in keeping notes about my PSBL simulation baseball league team. Rather than setting up another wiki, I figured this was a better way to do it.

PSCB Notes are located here

Roster

The following players are the ones that matter, Im skipping the scrubs.


St Louis Cardinals

1B Albert Pujols
2B Orlando Hudson
SS Miguel Tejada
3B Scott Rolen
3B Jorge Cantu
C Taylor Teagarden
C Brayan Pena
C David Ross
C Ivan Rodriguez
IF Ben Zobrist
LF Bobby Abreu
LF Jonny Gomes
LF Chase Headley
RF JD Drew
DH Travis Hafner
DH Jason Kubel
P Dan Haren
P John Lackey
P Josh Beckett
P Kevin Millwood
P Jon Garland
P Pedro Martinez
P Bartolo Colon
P Phil Hughes
P Trever Miller
P Rafael Betancourt
P Jeff Samardzija
P Kerry Wood
P Francisco Rodriguez
P Huston Street


Reserve Roster

OF Brian Barton
C Michael Barrett
P Boof Bonser
P Derrick Turnbow
P Akinori Otsuka


I have cleaned up this page and moved all the old information to PSBL Archive.

Strengths

Solid defense. Excellent offense. Best playoff rotation in the league.

Weaknesses

No high use catcher. Thin relief.

Plan

Go for it and get back to the winning ways of yore.

Pre Season Deals

What follows are all of the deals I have considered seriously. Some have been offered, some have not.

Stephen Drew

I cant remember who I was getting in the OF to facilitate this, but I am considering offering Tejada and Abreu for Stephen Drew and a good reliever, like Soria.

Pick 15

I have offered Headley and K-Rod for pick 15 and Olivo. I have also guaranteed him I-Rod for a 7th or 8th rounder to fill his eligibility if he so chooses after we get our lists done. He said this is a good offer he is considering among two others.

Aramis Ramirez

Jon offered me Ramirez for Hughes and Teagarden. This messes up my C situation, but if I get Olivo its moot. I could also counter with pick 15 if he wants that.

Jay Bruce

Whatever. Matt is on crack. Still, Im tenacious and as dumb as a sack of hammers hanging from a fencepost. I am considering offering Rolen, Cantu and Kerry Wood for Bruce.

First Round Pick Possibilities

In the first round we have pick 4. I want to try and move up to 1 as well as acquire pick 5.

Best Players Available

1. Matt Wieters
2. Rick Porcello
3. Tommy Hanson
4. Neftali Feliz
5. Andrew McCuthchen
6. Gordon Beckham
7. Elvis Andrus
8. Colby Rasmus
9. Chris Coghlan
10. Matt LaPorta


Others

Nolan Reimold
Jordan Schafer
Fernando Martinez
Tommy Hunter
Wade Davis
Chris Tillman
Brian Matusz
Andrew Bailey

I think you have to put Beckham on this list. In the PSCB, none of these players were available, except Hanson, but Beckham went first and Hanson third> I like him better than Rasmus and La Porta.

I need a CF really bad, but I thought McCutchen was on a team, but since he is not, thats my guy.